Introduction to the Mathematical and Statistical Foundations of Econometrics

Applications to Regression Analysis

5.1.1. The Linear Regression Model

Consider a random sample Zj = (Yj, Xj)T, j = 1, 2,...,n from a ^-variate, nonsingular normal distribution, where Yj є К, Xj є R-1. We have seen in Section 5.3 that one can write

Yj = a + Xj в + Uj, Uj - N (0, a2), j = 1,...,n, (5.31)

where Uj = Yj - E [Yj | Xj ] is independent of Xj. This is the classical linear regression model, where Yj is the dependent variable, Xj is the vector of in­dependent variables, also called the regressors, and Uj is the error term. This model is widely used in empirical econometrics - even in the case in which Xj is not known to be normally distributed.

Подпись: Y1 1 X1T Y= , X = Yn 1 XnT Подпись: 00 image357
image358

If we let

model (5.31) can be written in vector-matrix form as

Подпись: (5.32)Y = X00 + U, U|X - Nn [0, a2In],

where U|Xis a shorthand notation for “U conditional on X.”

In the remaining sections I will address the problems of how to estimate the parameter vector 00 and how to test various hypotheses about 0 0 and its components.

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Introduction to the Mathematical and Statistical Foundations of Econometrics

Mathematical Expectation

With these new integrals introduced, we can now answer the second question stated at the end of the introduction: How do we define the mathematical ex­pectation if the distribution of …

Hypotheses Testing

Theorem 5.19 is the basis for hypotheses testing in linear regression analysis. First, consider the problem of whether a particular component of the vector Xj of explanatory variables in model …

The Inverse and Transpose of a Matrix

I will now address the question of whether, for a given m x n matrix A, there exists an n x m matrix B such that, with y = Ax, …

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