Financial Sector Assessment
Financial Soundness Indicators
Financial soundness indicators (FSIs) are indicators of the current financial health and soundness of the financial institutions in a country, as well as of their corporate and household counterparts, and FSIs play a crucial role in financial stability assessments. FSIs include both aggregated individual institution data and indicators that are representative of the markets in which the financial institutions operate. FSIs are calculated and disseminated for use in macroprudential surveillance, which is the assessment and monitoring of the strengths and vulnerabilities of financial systems.
FSIs are a relatively new body of economic statistics that reflect a mixture of influences. Some of the concepts are drawn from prudential and commercial measurement frameworks, which have been developed to monitor individual entities. Other concepts
Table 2.3. The Core Set of Financial Soundness Indicators
Indicator
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Indicates
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Comment
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Deposit-taking institutions'*
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Regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets
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Capital adequacy
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Broad measure of capital, including items giving less protection against losses, such as subordinated debt, tax credits, and unrealized capital gains
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Regulatory Tier I capital to risk-weighted assets
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Capital adequacy
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Highest quality capital such as shareholder equity and retained earnings, relative to risk-weighted assets
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Nonperforming loans net of provisions to capital
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Capital adequacy
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Indicates the potential size of additional provisions that may be needed relative to capital
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Nonperforming loans to total gross loans
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Asset quality
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Indicates the credit quality of banks' loans
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Sectoral distribution of loans to total loans
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Asset quality
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Identifies exposure concentrations to particular sectors
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Return on assets and return on equity
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Earnings and profitability
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Assesses scope for earnings to offset losses relative to capital or loan and asset portfolio
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Interest margin to gross income
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Earnings and profitability
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Indicates the importance of net interest income and scope to absorb losses
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Noninterest expenses to gross income
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Earnings and profitability
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Indicates extent to which high noninterest expenses weakens earnings
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Liquid assets to total assets and liquid assets to short-term liabilities
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Liquidity
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Assesses the vulnerability of the sector to loss of access to market sources of funding or a run on deposits
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Net open position in foreign exchange to capital
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Exposure to FX risk
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Measures foreign currency mismatch
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a. Domestically controlled institutions, that may be grouped in different categories according to control, business lines, or group structure.
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are drawn from macroeconomic measurement frameworks, which have been developed to monitor aggregate activity in the economy. A list of FSIs, grouped into a core set and an encouraged set, is presented in tables 2.3 and 2.4 and will be discussed in this chapter. Detailed exposition and guidance on those FSIs can be obtained from the Compilation Guide on Financial Soundness Indicators (IMF 2004). It contains a discussion of the distinction between a “core set” for which data are generally available and are found to be highly relevant for analytic purposes in almost all countries and an “encouraged set” for which data are not as readily available and whose relevance could vary across countries.12
The list of FSIs discussed herein consists mainly of aggregate balance sheet measures. This type of aggregation of individual institution-level indicators (microprudential indicators) into financial soundness indicators (macroprudential indicators) necessarily involves a loss of information because the distribution of prudential indicators of individual institutions is also a crucial dimension of financial stability. Although aggregation is required for facilitating macroprudential analysis and international comparison, the assessments could be strengthened by allowing some disaggregation through peer groups or through the monitoring of the distributional characteristics of various indicators. In addition, FSIs themselves are either backward-looking or contemporaneous indicators of financial soundness, available often with a lag or low frequency. Therefore, proper interpretation and use of FSIs requires a range of analytical tools (discussed in chapter 3), which includes conducting stress tests of individual institutions and monitoring the
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Table 2.4. The Encouraged Set of Financial Soundness Indicators
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Provides an indication of credit risk because a highly leveraged corporate sector is more vulnerable to shocks Indicates the extent to which earnings are available to cover losses
Indicates the extent to which earnings available to cover losses are reduced by interest and principal payments Reveals corporate sector vulnerability to exchange rate movements
Broad measure of capital adequacy, which is a buffer for losses
Identifies credit exposure concentrations to particular countries by the banking system
Provides a crude indicator of exposure to derivatives
Provides a crude indicator of exposure to derivatives
Identifies credit exposure to large borrowers
Indicates the dependence on trading income
Indicates the extent to which high noninterest expenses reduces earnings
Indicates level of competition in the banking sector and the dependence of earnings on the interest rate spread
Market indicator of counterparty risks in the interbank market
Assesses the vulnerability to loss of access to customer deposits
Measures risk to loan portfolios from foreign exchange movements
Measures extent of dollarization
Measures exposure to equity price movements
Indicates liquidity in the securities market Indicates liquidity in the securities market
Indicates size and significance within the financial sector Indicates size and significance within the financial sector
Provides an indication of credit risk because a highly leveraged household sector is more vulnerable to shocks Indicates a household's ability to cover its debt payments
Measures trends in the real estate market
Measures banks' exposure to the residential real estate sector
Measures banks' exposure to the commercial real estate sector
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a. See Compilation Guide for Financial Soundness Indicators (IMF 2004) for a detailed definition and exposition of encouraged indicators.
b. These may be grouped in different categories based on ownership, business lines, or group structure.
c. May be in notional amounts or market value. The latter provides a better measure of exposure but may be more difficult to obtain.
d. Or in other markets that are most relevant to bank liquidity, such as foreign exchange markets.
e. Other indicators such as additional balance sheet data (e. g., maturity mismatches in foreign currency), data on the life insurance sector, or information on the corporate and household sector may be added.
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distribution of stress tests results, as well as examining the determinants of FSIs and forecasting their future course.
In addition, FSIs can be complemented by various market-based indicators, which are forward-looking indicators of soundness and are available with higher frequency. The various categories of FSIs are discussed in the following sections.
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